Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000194 0.000217 0.000242 0.000270 0.000302 0.000336 0.000376
2024-12-29 0.000160 0.000191 0.000226 0.000269 0.000320 0.000380 0.000453
2025-01-05 0.000133 0.000168 0.000210 0.000264 0.000333 0.000416 0.000526
2025-01-12 0.000115 0.000152 0.000200 0.000264 0.000348 0.000457 0.000606
2025-01-19 0.000102 0.000141 0.000192 0.000265 0.000366 0.000501 0.000695
2025-01-26 0.000089 0.000128 0.000182 0.000261 0.000375 0.000534 0.000772
2025-02-02 0.000084 0.000125 0.000183 0.000273 0.000407 0.000600 0.000901
2025-02-09 0.000077 0.000118 0.000180 0.000277 0.000427 0.000651 0.001013
2025-02-16 0.000071 0.000112 0.000176 0.000280 0.000445 0.000700 0.001125
2025-02-23 0.000065 0.000106 0.000171 0.000279 0.000458 0.000742 0.001228
2025-03-02 0.000058 0.000098 0.000163 0.000274 0.000462 0.000769 0.001312
2025-03-09 0.000054 0.000093 0.000158 0.000273 0.000472 0.000807 0.001414
2025-03-16 0.000049 0.000088 0.000154 0.000273 0.000487 0.000855 0.001543
2025-03-23 0.000046 0.000084 0.000150 0.000274 0.000501 0.000904 0.001678
2025-03-30 0.000042 0.000078 0.000144 0.000270 0.000508 0.000941 0.001794
2025-04-06 0.000039 0.000074 0.000140 0.000270 0.000521 0.000989 0.001937
2025-04-13 0.000036 0.000071 0.000138 0.000271 0.000537 0.001045 0.002102
2025-04-20 0.000033 0.000067 0.000133 0.000268 0.000543 0.001082 0.002230
2025-04-27 0.000032 0.000067 0.000135 0.000280 0.000581 0.001185 0.002502
2025-05-04 0.000031 0.000065 0.000134 0.000284 0.000603 0.001258 0.002721
2025-05-11 0.000029 0.000063 0.000133 0.000287 0.000623 0.001328 0.002939
2025-05-18 0.000027 0.000060 0.000130 0.000287 0.000636 0.001383 0.003129
2025-05-25 0.000025 0.000057 0.000125 0.000281 0.000637 0.001415 0.003270